In a first look at head-to-head 2020 presidential matchups nationwide, several Democratic challengers lead President Donald Trump, with former Vice President Joseph Biden ahead 53 – 40 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today.
In other matchups, the independent Quinnipiac University National Poll finds:
Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders over President Trump 51 – 42 percent;
California Sen. Kamala Harris ahead of Trump 49 – 41 percent;
Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren tops Trump 49 – 42 percent;
South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg edges Trump 47 – 42 percent;
New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker by a nose over Trump 47 – 42 percent.
In the Trump-Biden matchup, women back Biden 60 – 34 percent, as men are divided with 47 percent for Biden and 46 percent for Trump. White voters are divided with 47 percent for Trump and 46 percent for Biden. The Democrat leads 85 – 12 percent among black voters and 58 – 33 percent among Hispanic voters.
Republicans go to Trump 91 – 6 percent. Biden leads 95 – 3 percent among Democrats and 58 – 28 percent among independent voters.
“The head-to-head matchups give this heads up to President Donald Trump’s team: Former Vice President Joseph Biden and other Democratic contenders would beat the president if the election were held today. Leads range from Biden’s 13 percentage points to thin five-point leads by Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Sen. Cory Booker,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
“It’s a long 17 months to Election Day, but Joe Biden is ahead by landslide proportions.”
“That said, the Trump bump to 42 percent job approval is nothing to sniff at. It’s one point shy of the best Quinnipiac University survey number ever for President Trump,” Malloy added.
A total of 70 percent of American voters say the nation’s economy is “excellent” or “good,” but only 41 percent of voters say Trump deserves credit for an excellent or good economy. Another 27 percent say Trump does not deserve credit and 28 percent say the economy is “not so good” or “poor.”
American voters give Trump a negative 42 – 53 percent overall job approval rating.
A total of 77 percent of American voters say their financial situation is “excellent” or “good,” close to the all-time high of 78 percent recorded April 11, 2018.
“A very sturdy economy and folks with money in the bank. That’s the magic combo the White House hopes to ride to reelection and those numbers remain solid,” Malloy said.
“But Trump does not get that much credit.”
Voters disapprove 55 – 41 percent of the way Trump is handling the nation’s policy toward Mexico.
Biden leads the presidential primary race with 30 percent among Democrats and voters leaning Democratic. This compares to his 35 percent standing May 21, his 38 percent standing in an April 30 Quinnipiac University National Poll, right after he announced his candidacy, and his 29 percent standing March 28.
Sanders is next with 19 percent, compared to 16 percent last month. Warren has 15 percent, compared to 13 percent May 21. Buttigieg has 8 percent, compared to 5 percent last month. Harris is at 7 percent, compared to 8 percent May 21. Former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke is at 3 percent, compared to 2 percent last month.
No other Democrat tops 1 percent, with 14 candidates polling at less than 1 percent.
From June 6 – 10, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,214 voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points, including the design effect. The survey includes 503 Democrats and Democratic leaners with a margin of error of +/- 5.4 percentage points, including the design effect.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.