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New analysis finds Trump’s support among white voters is slipping

If President Donald Trump is reelected in November, he will need a heavy and enthusiastic turnout among white voters — especially older white male voters in swing states and red states. But Greg Sargent, in his Washington Post column, discusses what could prove to be a major problem for Trump in this year’s election: decreasing supporting among whites.

Former Vice President Joe Biden, according to Sargent, has been cutting into Trump’s white support. Sargent notes that “a new analysis by Nate Cohn of the Upshot, and some new Post polling, shed fresh light on why” Trump’s white support “might be failing — and on what it means that Trump’s alchemical powers are deserting him.”

“Trump’s slippage is driven largely by his eroding support among white voters, particularly those said to be his base,” Sargent explains. “Cohn averaged together recent high-quality polls and found that Biden’s overall lead over Trump has expanded to 10 points, up from six points earlier this spring.”

In 2016, Trump outperformed Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton among whites who never attended college — giving Trump an advantage in key swing states like Florida and Pennsylvania. But if Biden is increasing his support among that demographic, Cohn notes, it could doom Trump’s chance of winning a second term.

Sargent noted that according to Cohn, this demographic shift in Biden’s favor “would be enough to assure Mr. Biden the presidency, given his considerable strength among white college graduates.”